Close-Tail
0x1f8094487790d3c1a015a2dfaeeb34c9597614cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$426.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-170.65
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
3184 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-354.57
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2500 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-137.28
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2145 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.76
- YES
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
1500 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-449.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?
600 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?
551 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-69.55
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
323 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
205 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$249.99Jun 3, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$202.28May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$428.81Apr 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$98.44Apr 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$72.75Apr 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$8.93Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$1.27Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$15.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$49.80Mar 18, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$6.36Mar 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?$299.00Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$7.64Mar 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$1.67Mar 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "War" during March press conference?$106.83Mar 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$180.01Mar 15, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $151.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".