Muddy-Compromise
0x1f822103d8941d1106629c2b153a16bb56202d74
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$244.25
Total PnL
$-795.41
Realised
$50.50
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$74.04
$24.04
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
199 shares @ 36.7¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.73
$-6.37
- NO
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
353 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$33.50
$8.82
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.88
$11.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$23.81
$13.81
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
143 shares @ 13.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.30
$-0.36
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
783 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-278.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.59Jun 5, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.22Jun 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.40Jun 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.41Jun 5, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.70Jun 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$9.55Jun 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.42Jun 5, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$29.61Jun 5, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$32.84Jun 5, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$20.90Jun 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.76Jun 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.34Jun 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$26.59Jun 5, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.54Jun 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$38.33Jun 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$446.94Jun 5, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$5.42Jun 5, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$90.00Jun 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$88.99Jun 4, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$121.98Jun 4, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $112.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".