Noisy-Season
0x1f83d12400f0721f8cd98a219a7641eac951e880
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3800 on August 9 at 5PM ET?
155 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ethereum above $2,400 on July 9?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?$0.28Feb 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?$14.00Feb 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?$13.74Feb 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?$11.00Feb 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 11?$0.99Feb 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 10?$1.00Feb 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.31Feb 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.30Jan 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$1.00Jan 10, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?$0.00Jan 8, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?$4.17Jan 8, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?$3.00Jan 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".