Ajar-Piety
0x1f8a2be6d9efb2e5740863852839949491717854
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 15?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
4626 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?
2219 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 15?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?
267 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?$10.00Feb 15, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$25.03Feb 15, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$23.55Feb 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$5.00Feb 15, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$38.55Feb 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$33.07Feb 15, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 15, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?$3.00Feb 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.