Winding-Atmosphere
0x1f8dc3f7679efdca5f5272ec255a5a8d2f17bc39
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$9.35
Total PnL
$-16.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Sombr be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Reddit say "Traffic" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Feb 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Feb 19, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.00Feb 19, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 30, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit say "Traffic" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 30, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$1.05Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$1.05Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.33Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?$1.82Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sombr be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Oct 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by December 31?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari have the second-highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $99.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".