Appropriate-Musicmaking
0x1f93a879649137ca87eb2685e0837943ff478852
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.6K
Realised
$-391.96
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
3267 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
2614 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2533 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
2263 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
2203 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
2135 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
2081 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
1704 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
1442 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-64.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
1207 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-561.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$42.08Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.40Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.40Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.40Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$3.70Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$7.40Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$91.83Mar 8, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$75.30Mar 8, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$86.26Mar 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$71.95Mar 7, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$95.84Mar 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$74.76Mar 6, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.