Rough-Sub
0x1f93b66b2b50b7beca66ac0006ab5176c863e7a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
22372 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
10398 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-211.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9091 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
7692 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
4256 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
3576 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
2797 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2054 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
2020 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$41.00May 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$200.00May 4, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$400.00May 4, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.0KMay 4, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.1KApr 19, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1000.00Apr 8, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$400.00Apr 8, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$621.90Apr 8, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?$200.00Apr 8, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1000.00Apr 8, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$0.00Apr 8, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$595.24Apr 8, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$563.25Apr 8, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$500.00Apr 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$500.00Apr 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.1KApr 7, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$0.00Mar 21, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$0.00Mar 21, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$0.00Mar 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$500.00Mar 10, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".