Alarmed-Wage
0x1f9f7ceae00ab3d1499d2598b20785885ec58680
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$-207.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
100020 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.3K
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
10001 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-220.32
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
6000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.59
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-93.36
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-146.33
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
4848 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-220.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$12.27Feb 11, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$62.71Feb 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$6.02Feb 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?$81.00Feb 11, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$6.55Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$31.41Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$22.79Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$3.40Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.94Feb 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$1.57Feb 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$7.88Feb 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$4.27Feb 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$2.15Feb 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$2.39Feb 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.60Feb 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$416.48Feb 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$502.42Feb 11, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$40.89Feb 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$10.02Feb 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$0.55Feb 11, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $155.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.