Defensive-Morsel
0x1f9fc8e61739e1e18287a8b69f28bbf015bba68d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$90.18
Total PnL
$-11.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
90 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$90.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?
1207 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?
720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on December 17?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?
627 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?$90.01Jun 6, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 28?$90.09Jun 6, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 28?$90.01May 27, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$90.18May 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$90.01May 22, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?$2.14May 22, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$92.09May 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$92.01May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$91.09May 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$91.00May 11, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$91.09May 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$91.01May 7, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$91.09May 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$91.00May 2, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$91.08May 2, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$91.00Apr 26, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$91.08Apr 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$91.00Apr 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$2.60Apr 20, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $78.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.