Candid-Raven
0x1fa1684a246f66f675b93f0c1d8bab91b1058d37
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.07
Total PnL
$-5.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.65
- NO
Pakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.65
$0.65
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-03?$1.02Dec 14, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 1, 3PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$0.00Dec 4, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?$0.00Dec 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$3.00Dec 4, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Dec 4, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?$1.00Dec 3, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Cowboys$0.00Nov 28, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Cowboys$2.04Nov 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Cowboys$1.00Nov 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?$4.00Nov 27, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$1.00Nov 27, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.00Nov 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.04Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona end in a draw?$2.22Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.37Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMSuccessful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?$4.74Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-13?$5.26Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".