Scarce-Bibliography
0x1fa5080b19dbae5bd483dcc08a463418e6ec16a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$20.52
Total PnL
$-66.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.50
$0.50
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.25
$0.24
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
27 shares @ 18.2¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.85
$-3.15
- URUGUAY
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
104 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
65 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
39 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 28?
22 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$2.06Jun 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Uruguay (-2.5)$1.02Jun 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.07Jun 15, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.06Jun 15, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$3.09Jun 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$37.02Jun 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$9.13Jun 15, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.07Jun 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$10.18Jun 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$2.05Jun 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$20.31Jun 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$10.19Jun 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$6.09Jun 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.07Jun 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$10.23Jun 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.08Jun 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$5.09Jun 14, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$27.78Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$5.12Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.