Poised-Attempt
0x1faad82973cca96e51b52fc0022e34604f73406e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$201.97
Total PnL
$-461.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
134 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$134.33
$44.33
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
39 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$38.98
$15.98
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
14 shares @ 69.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.37
$4.37
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$14.29
$4.29
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
215 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.73
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
177 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?
114 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
101 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$23.28Jun 27, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$0.00Jun 27, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$0.00Jun 27, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$23.48Jun 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$14.49Jun 25, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$25.31Jun 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$50.73Jun 25, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$13.25Jun 25, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.88Jun 25, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$39.22Jun 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.09Jun 25, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.08Jun 25, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?$0.14Jun 25, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.09Jun 25, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?$0.00Jun 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.89Jun 25, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.41Jun 25, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$131.17Jun 25, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.25Jun 24, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?$25.68Jun 24, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $23.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 05:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.