Perky-Albatross
0x1faf34ed83f8b5c0f3263e486b2cbb1a21bf1249
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$45.09
Total PnL
$0.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla reach $615 in November?
12 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$12.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Argentina win Miss Universe 2025?
11 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$11.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.26
$0.26
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
7 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$7.25
$0.25
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?
94 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win Miss Universe 2025?$11.00Nov 13, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or below on November 12?$27.19Nov 13, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$5.00Nov 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or below on November 12?$27.00Nov 11, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 10?$6.12Nov 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 11?$7.16Nov 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$17.22Nov 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$7.00Nov 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 10?$6.00Nov 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 11?$7.00Nov 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$17.00Nov 7, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$7.04Nov 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $615 in November?$12.00Nov 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$7.00Nov 5, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?$1.00Nov 1, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.00Nov 1, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.