Gracious-Stamp
0x1fb258561292916ad997f52d8c00fb75e7a4061e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$65.50
Total PnL
$-91.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
530 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.36
$-24.64
- YES
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.75
$4.75
- YES
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.58
$2.58
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
25 shares @ 24.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.11
$-2.89
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- NO
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$2.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2 shares @ 44.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.23
$1.23
- YES
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.21
$1.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.02Jun 11, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.