Quixotic-Feed
0x1fc9776b33c40adf0ef9c1287d2810766dd1ace5
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$872.88
Total PnL
$-857.77
Realised
$166.88
Win rate
77%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
10402 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$67.61
$6.81
- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
10334 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$67.17
$5.17
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
8128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$52.83
$-11.56
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
811 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.28
$1.22
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
32072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$48.11
$-16.04
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
678 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$38.31
$3.05
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1058 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.90
$24.69
- YES
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
363 shares @ 13.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.59
$-24.81
- YES
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2630 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.10
$-1.32
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2522 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.39
$-8.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$0.77Jun 12, 03:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$0.35Jun 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$1.63Jun 11, 22:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$1.75Jun 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.59Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$18.41Jun 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.24Jun 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04Jun 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jun 10, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.14Jun 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.02Jun 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.07Jun 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.77Jun 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?$1.53Jun 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?$1.46Jun 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?$0.92Jun 10, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.87Jun 10, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.