Upset-Dagger
0x1fcba50cc12e133832ceb7e19589e43ff2652027
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.05
Total PnL
$-381.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
12 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.05
$1.05
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1188 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$11.00Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$380.00Feb 7, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$85.50Feb 7, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$85.00Jan 29, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$88.11Jan 29, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$86.00Dec 24, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$2.00Nov 12, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.54Nov 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Oct 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$1.00Sep 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?$182.18Sep 6, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?$182.00May 19, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$173.91May 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$120.00Apr 14, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on March 7?$50.00Apr 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on March 7?$18.00Mar 6, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMLess than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?$78.95Mar 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLess than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?$15.00Jan 20, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$33.82Jan 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$23.00Dec 22, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $68.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.