0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7
0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$21.5K
Total PnL
$-77.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?
2208 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$2.2K
$-3.15
- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
1132 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$20.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?
1111 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.1K
$10.33
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?
1111 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.1K
$6.13
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
1111 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.1K
$1.20
- NO
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
1119 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.1K
$4.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?
1111 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$1.1K
$3.89
- NO
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1102 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.1K
$-0.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5?
1102 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$1.1K
$-1.55
- NO
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1124 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.1K
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?$727.49Aug 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?$16.68Aug 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?$63.73Aug 5, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?$292.74Aug 5, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5?$1.1KAug 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?$1.1KAug 5, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?$1.1KAug 5, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?$1.1KAug 5, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?$1.1KAug 5, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?$1.1KAug 5, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.1KAug 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 5.5$500.41Aug 5, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?$884.98Aug 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?$5.97Aug 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?$1.1KAug 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$1.1KAug 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?$4.95Aug 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$1.1KAug 5, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.1KAug 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.1KAug 4, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $548.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.