Cheerful-Limo
0x1fd5f86738b08384d4826c9e1832f60883cd25b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$9.30
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-6.50
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.30
$-20.70
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
178 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-04?
130 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- CTBC FLYING OYSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner
114 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.05
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
103 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.30
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?
102 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 13, 5AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$100.20May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$100.01May 19, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-16?$14.49May 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-16?$10.09May 15, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?$100.09May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?$100.00Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.75Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$30.28Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$76.00Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17?$41.88Apr 26, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$100.09Apr 26, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 12?$100.53Apr 26, 15:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17?$20.00Apr 17, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $45.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".