Lopsided-Heel
0x1fd753fbfa14f820a6bbd7da65254e44d43d3b89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1601 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
236 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.30
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- 90K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
9 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Teams" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Cloud" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$1.00Apr 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 8, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.08Apr 7, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.90Mar 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.89Mar 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.80Mar 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.00Mar 14, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.27Mar 9, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.13Mar 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.01Feb 26, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.03Feb 26, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.