Dependable-Rancher
0x1fd9946219574f97d525d844e39723e6f6a962cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.47
Total PnL
$-263.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.47
$2.47
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2025?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?
140 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Solana all time high before 2026?
88 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by July 25?
53 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$12.64Jan 18, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?$27.40Jan 18, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$20.00Nov 27, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?$20.00Nov 27, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMDoge ETF approved by July 31?$25.00Nov 27, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$40.00Nov 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$4.00Jul 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by July 25?$15.00Jul 22, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high before 2026?$35.00Jul 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?$23.26Jul 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?$20.00Jul 9, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? $0.00Jul 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?$0.00Jul 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC before July?$0.00Jul 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$0.00Jul 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved by July 31?$21.90Jul 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?$21.28Jun 24, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$10.00Jun 22, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 22, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 22, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.