Showy-Decrease
0x1fef268b78139714f68d7f98ba3af08e1b610cc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$34.84
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-124.52
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
297 shares @ 20.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.18
$-28.82
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
523 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.66
$-56.34
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
206667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-259.99
- YES
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
8542 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-241.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
2618 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1724 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?
1705 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
1642 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?
786 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$30.03Jun 4, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$1.4KApr 3, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Warriors$1.1KApr 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$456.00Apr 2, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Warriors$874.80Apr 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$638.40Apr 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$435.86Apr 1, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.4KApr 1, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$284.00Mar 31, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$316.80Mar 31, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$730.00Mar 31, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Mavericks$2.3KMar 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Mavericks$1.7KMar 30, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.6KMar 30, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular charged again by June 30?$12.66Mar 30, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular charged again by June 30?$10.00Mar 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$372.96Jan 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$100.00Jan 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$343.81Jan 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$533.49Jan 21, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $528.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".