0x1fface74e063b4f03437f74f14c2f0d32b540ae6
0x1fface74e063b4f03437f74f14c2f0d32b540ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump positive favorability on April 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?
995 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-288.55
- NO
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
615 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-319.80
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 8th seed in the NBA 2025 Eastern Conference Play-in Tournament?
370 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-188.70
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?
190 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-89.30
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?
185 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-98.05
- UP
Fartcoin Up or Down on May 17?
125 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-62.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down on May 17?
105 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-52.50
- NO
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
65 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-41.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on May 20?$220.00May 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Wolves end in a draw?$1.45May 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 20?$7.50May 19, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 20?$102.50May 19, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$75.00May 19, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on May 17?$35.00May 19, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Astana: Aurora vs. Astralis$16.00May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Astana: Aurora vs. Astralis$19.20May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$38.25May 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 17?$17.50May 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFartcoin Up or Down on May 17?$62.50May 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 17?$52.50May 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$206.40May 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$5.10May 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$214.20May 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$179.40May 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$2.60May 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$10.40May 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$127.40May 16, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$5.00May 16, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $74.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.