Far-Flung-Logic
0x20095834caeab7a77bcc75b38e13e13cb763678c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$35.19
Total PnL
$-648.65
Realised
$-21.74
Win rate
0%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
525 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$35.19
$-14.81
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?
529 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
347 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
249 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
223 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
115 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$51.81Aug 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.11Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$51.37Jul 22, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$50.90Jul 22, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$103.28Jul 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$77.81Jul 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$331.84Jul 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.21Jul 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.14Jul 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.14Jul 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.27Jul 10, 14:33 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.28Jul 5, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.59Jul 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.17Jul 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.14Jul 5, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.14Jul 5, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.14Jul 5, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.23Jul 5, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
42 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.