Third-Fry
0x200b7acbc6f3f995bf52aa7965f1b7c6729565f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-653.55
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)
3440 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UNDER
France vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
1277 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-702.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?
1201 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
581 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-261.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
355 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-197.24
- NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)
323 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-287.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
236 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-113.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
162 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-92.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
158 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-47.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5$718.21Jul 18, 14:53 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.12Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Jul 17, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$217.42Jul 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$14.22Jul 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$150.52Jul 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$209.78Jul 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$201.26Jul 17, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Jul 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$201.12Jul 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$50.63Jul 17, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Jul 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$209.66Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$110.51Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$204.08Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$203.39Jul 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$22.48Jul 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$104.06Jul 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$100.67Jul 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$200.28Jul 17, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $138.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.