Wallet digest

active

Activity score

80/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$82.26

Total PnL

$-5.25

Realised

$-1.97

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
40 shares @ 37.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$39.61
$24.69
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
19 shares @ 50.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$19.07
$9.38
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
16 shares @ 62.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$15.90
$5.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
8 shares @ 68.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$7.68
$2.40
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
49 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-4.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
36 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-9.44
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-7.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
19 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-3.83
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
19 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-9.96
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-9.97

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.97Feb 25, 17:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.99Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.97Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.04Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.50Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.77Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.59Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.07Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.61Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.38Feb 25, 17:15 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.65Feb 25, 17:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.48Feb 25, 17:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.99Feb 25, 17:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.98Feb 25, 17:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.08Feb 25, 17:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.94Feb 25, 17:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.78Feb 25, 17:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$19.05Feb 25, 17:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.99Feb 25, 17:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$9.60Feb 25, 17:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry70 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk57 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $3.72
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 25, 16:37 UTC
Last active: Feb 25, 17:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:02:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data