Victorious-Outfit
0x201c89c0110737b79e5b967079b9c5ffeaacd383
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$163.29
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
4857 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?
2207 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-154.37
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?
2180 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-154.17
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?
2095 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-149.13
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
850 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-184.49
- NO
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?
730 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.39
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
573 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-89.50
- YES
Will Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
573 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.07
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
379 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-70.78
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
375 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-168.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$28.26Nov 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$78.35Nov 18, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMPark Sung-jae in jail by November 15?$7.56Nov 18, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$31.55Nov 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$12.00Nov 4, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPark Sung-jae in jail by November 15?$4.31Nov 4, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChoo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?$20.00Nov 4, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$20.00Nov 3, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$42.03Nov 3, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$29.00Oct 27, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$52.11Oct 27, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$19.72Oct 5, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$9.43Oct 5, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?$50.00Sep 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?$100.00Sep 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?$43.65Sep 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.00Sep 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.60Sep 8, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$62.26Sep 8, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$29.26Sep 7, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.