0x2026a99993161420e11b109f4036c9d84dfd4c19
0x2026a99993161420e11b109f4036c9d84dfd4c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$111.10
Total PnL
$-421.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$26.14
$21.14
- YES
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
20 shares @ 25.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.61
$14.61
- COCO GAUFF
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.52
$13.52
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
18 shares @ 27.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.38
$13.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
16 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$16.17
$1.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 29?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$12.28
$1.84
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2846 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2585 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1757 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1091 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.