Haunting-Impediment
0x2029d45f0bc69965c588ed3ab4a85d8d68ea3124
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.1K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
5513 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-619.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
1399 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
1366 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
917 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-361.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
861 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-228.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
679 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-390.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
605 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-91.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
461 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-334.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
428 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-176.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
420 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-94.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$46.00Jul 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$39.92Jul 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$46.97Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$40.43Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$46.00Jul 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$39.95Jul 21, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$45.02Jul 21, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$39.98Jul 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$48.93Jul 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$39.97Jul 21, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$46.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$40.40Jul 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$46.97Jul 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$39.90Jul 21, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.12Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.13Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.13Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.13Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.13Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.13Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $43.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.