Gullible-Scaffold
0x2040018841d1f4b954fe9ade001f7dd6af938331
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.52
Total PnL
$-1.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
3 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2021$3.25
$0.38
- NO
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021?
3 shares @ 79.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2021$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Will the U.S. Women’s Soccer team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?
2 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2021$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics?
1 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$1.15
$0.45
- YES
Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics?
1 shares @ 48.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$1.03
$0.53
- NO
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?
1 shares @ 59.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2021$1.01
$0.41
- NO
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021?
3 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2021$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?
2 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?
2 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021?
1 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2021$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? $0.00Jul 29, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$2.32Jul 26, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEM(NBA) Bucks in six?$4.91Jul 22, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals?$0.00Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals?$0.00Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6?$0.00Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?$5.84Jul 21, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5?$1.31Jul 19, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?$0.00Jul 18, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4?$0.00Jul 15, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?$1.70Jul 14, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the Euro 2020?$0.00Jul 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier?$2.04Jul 11, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$0.00Jul 8, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$1.23Jul 8, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary?$1.31Jul 8, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.14Jul 7, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5?$0.00Jul 7, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals?$0.00Jul 2, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals?$1.85Jun 30, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".