Grumpy-Toast
0x2044072c0d17e9b06408a031045f97a7c3fdcabc
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-324.51
Realised
$2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
6242 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.2K
$3.12
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
15039 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-123.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
10031 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
8100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-64.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$6.2KJun 11, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.2KMar 6, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.2KFeb 4, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$140.84Feb 4, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?$142.86Feb 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?$100.00Feb 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$100.00Feb 3, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$366.85Feb 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$467.21Feb 3, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$5.3KFeb 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$3.2KJan 7, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$699.04Jan 7, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.15Jan 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$42.00Jan 4, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$64.00Jan 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$77.00Jan 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$500.00Jan 3, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$400.00Jan 3, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$16.20Jan 3, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$16.20Jan 3, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $608.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.