Wallet digest

active

Activity score

46/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$57.05

Total PnL

$-121.20

Realised

$-95.96

Win rate

14 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 23

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$19.69
$9.84
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$10.96
$1.43
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$7.96
$1.35
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$5.48
$0.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026
$2.96
$0.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026
$2.96
$0.56
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$1.44
$0.35
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$1.18
$0.15
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$1.14
$0.24
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$1.13
$0.26

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.96Apr 4, 17:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Apr 4, 17:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.49Apr 4, 17:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.99Apr 4, 16:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$2.99Apr 4, 16:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 16:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.40Apr 4, 16:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.43Apr 4, 15:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$2.43Apr 4, 15:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.49Apr 4, 15:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Apr 4, 14:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.40Apr 4, 14:41 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.96Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Apr 4, 14:07 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence47 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry4 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk43 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $2.45
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 3, 22:19 UTC
Last active: Apr 4, 17:45 UTC
Win rate sample: 14 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:08:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data