0x204d00e6a14942af4b698a2cd30c5f6e34ef4fb0
0x204d00e6a14942af4b698a2cd30c5f6e34ef4fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$86.17
Total PnL
$-17.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 3.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.51
$58.21
- NO
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$12.03
$7.22
- NO
Will England win on 2026-03-27?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.00
$3.20
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Utah
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.00
$2.65
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-1.39
- OVER
Algeria vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5
1 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$1.11
$1.00
- YES
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?
21 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.48
$-0.40
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
6 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.34
$-0.21
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1514 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
899 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.02Mar 28, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.21Mar 28, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.13Mar 28, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.09Mar 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.21Mar 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?$0.21Mar 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $0.10Mar 27, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.43Mar 27, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.04Mar 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $0.45Mar 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 2AM ET$0.72Mar 27, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2AM ET$0.65Mar 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.02Mar 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.34Mar 27, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.05Mar 27, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.47Mar 27, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 1AM ET$1.30Mar 27, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.02Mar 27, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.02Mar 27, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.63Mar 27, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.