Serious-Witness
0x204d04dadd8b3f0c3f8fffcda080dac46edfca5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-491.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" win Best Dance Pop Recording at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
49988 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
49984 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will "Cosa Nuestra - Rauw Alejandro" win Best Latin Pop Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
2800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
2057 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1287 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.12
- YES
Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1199 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.32
- YES
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
260 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-01?
135 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-48.60
- YES
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-02?
120 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.35
- YES
Will CA Tigre vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
90 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-33.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$10.00Feb 4, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$9.87Feb 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$9.00Feb 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-02?$56.35Feb 3, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?$66.07Feb 3, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$19.90Feb 3, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$40.00Feb 3, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$60.27Feb 3, 00:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$30.00Feb 3, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$30.00Feb 2, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?$35.00Feb 2, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$7.71Feb 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$18.09Feb 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Tigre vs. Racing Club end in a draw?$33.30Feb 2, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score$24.77Feb 2, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$59.17Feb 2, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?$10.50Feb 2, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$50.50Feb 2, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".