Focused-Tear
0x204e22669986df3f00aaa0ec4a41de5f16c66479
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$59.90
Total PnL
$-78.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$25.15
$0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$12.50
$1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$11.63
$1.63
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$10.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 9?
13 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.90
- HEAT
Heat vs. Pacers
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.03Jun 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$11.09Jun 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$25.01May 21, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 21?$10.10May 21, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)$17.71May 19, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$108.43May 19, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$90.46May 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$20.23May 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$11.60May 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)$17.02May 13, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.10May 13, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ET$10.42May 13, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$11.39May 13, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$11.70May 13, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 25?$13.15May 13, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$25.15May 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$11.03May 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.01May 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ET$10.03Apr 29, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$25.01Apr 29, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".