Winding-Mocha
0x204fd1ca453b2e13db1a79b3482192cf019326bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$250.11
Total PnL
$-161.22
Realised
$7.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?
140 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$140.00
$2.80
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
110 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$110.11
$1.32
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
201 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
90 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- YES
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
9 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?$6.90Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$7.74Apr 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$89.46Apr 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?$89.64Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.98Apr 6, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?$137.20Apr 4, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$32.58Apr 3, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$26.10Mar 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$165.00Mar 25, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$108.79Mar 23, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 in November?$120.00Dec 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $90 in November?$116.88Nov 24, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 17?$220.22Nov 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 17?$218.90Nov 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$607.56Nov 7, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$608.17Nov 7, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Nov 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$573.62Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$574.20Nov 1, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$608.78May 31, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $444.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.