Ornery-Tract
0x20512e446cd6a6106821729f64951a8c113dce7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$14.85
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.94
$0.04
- NO
Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$6.92
$0.01
- NO
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win five elections in Nov?$6.90Nov 16, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$6.90Nov 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$13.82Nov 16, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?$5.27Nov 16, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 13?$8.56Nov 16, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 13?$8.55Oct 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?$5.25Oct 13, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on September 25?$3.55Oct 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on September 26?$7.00Oct 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.25Sep 25, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.52Sep 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on September 25?$3.52Sep 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 25?$7.08Sep 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on September 26?$7.08Sep 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on September 26?$14.10Sep 25, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14.10Sep 25, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.11Sep 25, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.10Sep 25, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.12Sep 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$15.12Sep 25, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.