White-Jewellery
0x205aef3d61c845d6094db3b7df0995d5616b218c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 200+ seats in the next UK Election?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 185-199 seats in the next UK Election?
250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 170-184 seats in the next UK Election?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 155-169 seats in the next UK Election?
171 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Labour win 325-349 seats in the next UK Election?
162 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 140-154 seats in the next UK Election?
102 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Labour win less than 325 seats in the next UK Election?
92 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Labour win 350-374 seats in the next UK Election?
90 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Conservative Party win 125-139 seats in the next UK Election?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Labour win 350-374 seats in the next UK Election?$6.30Jun 28, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour win 325-349 seats in the next UK Election?$6.30Jun 28, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour win less than 325 seats in the next UK Election?$4.40Jun 27, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 125-139 seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 140-154 seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 155-169 seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 170-184 seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 185-199 seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative Party win 200+ seats in the next UK Election?$6.00Jun 27, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.