Firm-Ambassador
0x205e652dc6014a63512a1402684b9018af9b1925
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.6K
Realised
$-3.8K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
49526 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.1K
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
15297 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-348.80
- YES
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
3800 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-250.29
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3576 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-338.99
- NO
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
3289 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?
3000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
2720 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-135.38
- YES
Will Alix Earle & Val Chmerkovskiy win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
2510 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
2274 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-492.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Dylan Efron & Daniella Karagach win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?$0.00Apr 14, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alix Earle & Val Chmerkovskiy win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?$0.00Apr 14, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 24?$0.00Apr 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$8.00Dec 13, 06:09 UTC
- REWARD$1.33Dec 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$20.00Dec 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$28.07Dec 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$19.50Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.31Dec 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.17Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.17Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$77.46Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$43.78Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$57.54Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$250.89Dec 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.19Dec 11, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$99.84Dec 11, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$80.00Dec 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$13.95Dec 11, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $28.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".