0x206aa7a4105e2fa4508c53a355f1c3c61154e438
0x206aa7a4105e2fa4508c53a355f1c3c61154e438
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-506.96
Realised
$-203.46
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- BEARS
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- OVER
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 80.5
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
91 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11PM ET
79 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.82
- OREGON
Oregon vs. Indiana
68 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
66 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
61 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.27
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
58 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.03
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.