Jumbo-Experimentation
0x206b7eeb5029664ff74f0d8e1c8168675144776b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-679.48
Realised
$-4.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
606 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$601.64
$0.54
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
211 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$202.18
$0.84
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$99.72
$0.05
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
100 shares @ 94.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$98.85
$4.45
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.58
$1.57
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
27 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.52
$0.46
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.05
$-0.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
629 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-602.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.20
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?
31 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$342.97Jun 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.73Jun 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$145.34Jun 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$45.26Jun 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$286.78Jun 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$51.22Jun 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$95.20Jun 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$43.97Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?$99.67Jun 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$198.85Jun 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$46.68Jun 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$47.08Jun 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$308.70Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$95.19Jun 14, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$246.39Jun 14, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$26.05Jun 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.15Jun 14, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$94.56Jun 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$49.00Jun 14, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 7, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $144.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.