Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-36.6K

Realised

$-40.20

Win rate

29%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
30914 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-431.84
YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026
$0.00
$-117.78
NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-91.92
YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026
$0.00
$-39.18
YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
28491 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$0.00
$-28.49
YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
26834 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-75.27
YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026
$0.00
$-44.96
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
20000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-176.86
YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
18500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-79.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
17500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-263.33

Recent activity

MAKER_REBATE$5.83Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.23Jun 18, 02:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$4.75Jun 18, 02:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.34Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.02Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.15Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.36Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.68Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.05Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.20Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.20Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.04Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.24Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.22Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.33Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.40Jun 18, 02:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk43 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $1.28
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 18, 02:10 UTC
Last active: Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 05:20:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data