Imperturbable-Agreement-Subsection
0x207319fdf1e945a1d52ee80c7c620ab88f21db8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-327.51
Realised
$-18.02
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
4107 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
683 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
632 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
550 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
492 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
277 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
261 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
219 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$1.05Jul 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$48.69Jul 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.34Jul 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.31Jul 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.30Jul 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.28Jul 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.35Jul 1, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.34Jul 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.30Jul 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.26Jul 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.35Jul 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.34Jul 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.32Jul 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.27Jul 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.25Jul 1, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$96.88Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.32Jul 1, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.32Jul 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.29Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.24Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.