Worthy-Kidney
0x207e8edc66e2d0465053686e8bdf8b4e230d3499
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
106
Open notional
$4.75
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.35
$-0.00
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
63000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Selma Bartholomew gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will TPRRP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
4396 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 750 and 779 times August 29–September 5?
1749 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- KINGS
Kings vs. Pistons
1114 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.57
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.08Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$2.00Jun 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.08Jun 28, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$1.00Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in May 2026?$1.00Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.13Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.34Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.41Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.90Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 27?$1.00Jun 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$2.00Jun 25, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$1.22Jun 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.10Jun 19, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$1.22Jun 16, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?$1.35Jun 15, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.90May 23, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 21, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.