Misguided-Mallard
0x208047b543e80178677b990a4d6be7d2687c4625
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$321.71
Total PnL
$0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 21?
168 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$168.35
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 16?
107 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$107.29
$0.31
- NO
Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?
41 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 21?$168.00Apr 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17?$4.99Apr 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 16?$107.00Apr 15, 06:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$628.72Apr 13, 09:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$629.36Apr 11, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 10, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$684.48Apr 9, 04:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$685.17Apr 8, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$757.89Apr 4, 04:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$758.66Apr 2, 12:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 27, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$548.14Mar 27, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $392.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".