Sugary-Politician
0x2083456decc3d6b2f477580437a840a8cd563aa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.80
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$-1.08
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
3249 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
3249 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
3249 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3247 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
3247 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
3244 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2435 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2433 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.85Mar 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.04Mar 31, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.95Mar 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Mar 31, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.04Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.04Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.05Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.06Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.08Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$17.50Mar 31, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$17.31Feb 6, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill With Heaven on Top by Zach Bryan be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 24?$1.02Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 17 be less than 2,400,000?$1.02Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.04Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.06Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 6, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 05:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".