Carefree-Host
0x208ddae8ddc13cfe0a6ae5dc6b455953e1705cf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$20.71
Total PnL
$-6.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
11 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$10.85
$6.51
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8 shares @ 71.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$8.09
$2.33
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.77
$0.46
- NO
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.73
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
12 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?$4.34Aug 1, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.76Jul 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.48Jul 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$5.73Jul 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.25Jul 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$4.23Jul 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.31Jun 15, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$0.00Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$0.00Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.70Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$10.99Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$28.02Jun 5, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.13May 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$14.01May 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$5.21May 7, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Feb 7, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$33.03Feb 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$32.96Jan 30, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".