Serpentine-Avocado-Skirt
0x2092a375f7adb286c13ba79e9c3994aef731a752
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$164.13
Total PnL
$-108.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 73.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$75.00
$-12.60
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
60 shares @ 71.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$35.40
$-7.20
- NO
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
60 shares @ 60.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$28.80
$-7.20
- NO
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?
60 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$8.10
$-8.70
- YES
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$5.70
$-22.50
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
60 shares @ 26.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$5.40
$-10.20
- YES
Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.90
$-24.30
- YES
Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.83
$-16.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$42.60Jun 26, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$35.28Jun 26, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?$42.60Jun 26, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carson Carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$28.20Jun 26, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$28.20Jun 26, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill William Hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$13.46Jun 26, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$42.13Jun 26, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill William Hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$13.95Jun 26, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$5.84Jun 26, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?$47.97Jun 26, 03:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.36Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?$46.25Jun 26, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$15.60Jun 26, 02:24 UTC
- REWARD$24.19Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?$16.80Jun 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$4.59Jun 25, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?$36.00Jun 25, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?$18.00Jun 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$3.06Jun 25, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$2.05Jun 25, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $25.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.