Well-Lit-Robin
0x2094832556d4610732180f784394e7334bcc3f01
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1149 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.53
- YES
Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by October 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NETANYAHU
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$19.53Mar 20, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump in jail before election day?$1.16Mar 20, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?$1.20Mar 20, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMYahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?$1.39Mar 20, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.75Mar 20, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran by end of 2024?$4.17Mar 20, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMAnother record low Biden approval rating in June?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf be the next President of Iran?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by July 31?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNext Israel x Hamas ceasefire in June?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea x South Korea military clash in June?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out by July 4? $0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Rainey Jr. press charges by Friday?$0.00Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu address to US congress in June?$1.01Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke by July 31?$1.02Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$1.02Aug 19, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".