Beneficial-Haze
0x2097f6cf5cf8bc79a76a713f0e0d6f1aaf24fe91
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-48.41
Win rate
71%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
20380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.38
- SCHIMEL
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
15676 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
13118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.21
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100-109 times April 4 - 11?
4420 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
3246 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3032 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.47
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150-159 times April 4 - 11?
2699 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-696.68
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120-129 times April 4 - 11?
2308 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-201.99
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
2000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.75
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1859 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.44Jun 27, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.19Jun 27, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.44Jun 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.35Jun 27, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.44Jun 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.09Jun 27, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.50Jun 27, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.45Jun 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.44Jun 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.19Jun 27, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.45Jun 27, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.19Jun 27, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.50Jun 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.19Jun 27, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.81Jun 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.44Jun 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.88Jun 26, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.50Jun 26, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.45Jun 26, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.50Jun 26, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.