Spotted-Logo
0x2099ecad0083eadb09a4857adf8992b7ceb83024
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-378.67
Realised
$95.30
Win rate
53%
156 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.89
$-0.09
- YES
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?
330 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on February 23?
260 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 21?
259 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?
180 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 February 16-22?
180 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 5?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 2?
180 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$0.75Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$0.75Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.92Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.39Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.52Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$0.79Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.73Jun 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.32Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.69Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$2.37Jun 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.70Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.88Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.88Jun 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2.30Jun 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4.00Jun 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$0.66Jun 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.55Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 156 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.